Henrique Rocha vs Alexey Vatutin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve performances compare? Alexey Vatutin has a 43.77% win rate on second serve points, while Henrique Rocha edges slightly ahead with 45.07% over the past six months. This small margin might impact match predictions.
• In terms of return games, Alexey Vatutin outperforms Henrique Rocha by winning 49.61% of their opponent's second serve points, compared to Rocha's 46.65%. Also, Vatutin has a stronger first serve return at 31.35%, bettering Rocha’s 27.58%.
• Both players face pressure situations differently. Vatutin has saved a higher percentage of breakpoints (54.68%) than Rocha (50.64%), which is crucial for predicting how an athlete might handle in-game stress.
• Annually, Vatutin has achieved a 57.14% match win rate, whereas Rocha is just behind at 54.69%, offering a slight advantage to Vatutin.
• Considering their preferred surfaces, both excel on Hard courts with a 60% win rate. However, Rocha's weakness appears on Indoor Hard, where he has only a 33% success rate.
• Evaluation of event level shows both players have similar records in Challengers/ITF events, with Vatutin at 52.94% and Rocha at 52.17% win rates, indicating a comparable competitive level.
• Do player rankings factor into outcomes? Vatutin has recently faced opponents with a more challenging average rank (399.96) than Rocha (258.3), perhaps affecting match outcomes.
• In deciding sets, Rocha holds a narrow advantage, winning 55% compared to Vatutin’s 54% in the past year, useful for gauging stamina and mental endurance.
• Breakpoint conversion is a critical determinant; Vatutin leads with a conversion rate of 37.50%, surpassing Rocha’s 33.17%, which could be decisive during critical game moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing patterns in their recent performances, Alexey Vatutin demonstrates a slight edge in both service returns and breakpoint conversions. These skills might prove decisive in the upcoming match.

Henrique Rocha's slightly better second serve results suggest he holds a minor advantage in rally initiation, potentially challenging Vatutin’s efficiency.

When examining their records on preferred surfaces, both are equally adept on Hard courts. However, Vatutin's stronger ability to save breakpoints implies resilience under pressure.

Considering the nuances of their gameplay and historical data, Alexey Vatutin is likely to capitalize on his strengths and emerge victorious in this match.